4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,322 sqft ·
Built 1999
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,458/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$868
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,566
Net cashflow
$309/mo
Annual
$3,710/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.47%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $155/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $746k (17.0% below list).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $746k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $48k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 19 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,458/mo this rent would consume 372% of the median local household income ($24k/yr) (locally 5002% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AJ7929E7FZJ9D4
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29