Duplex
592 Beech Ter · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Legal 2-Family home being delivered fully vacant, offering an excellent opportunity for both end users and investors. The property features a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath duplex over a 2-bedroom, 1-bath ground-floor unit, providing flexible living arrangements and strong income potential. Additional highlights include a private driveway and private yard space, perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Ideal for those looking to live in one unit while generating rental income or for investors seeking a solid income-producing property.
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Private yard space
- 2,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Private parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Trash collection (public); Water connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen(s)
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Formal dining room; Galley-style kitchen; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $155/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $746k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $746k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 19 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,458/mo this rent would consume 372% of the median local household income ($24k/yr) (locally 5002% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $48k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.47%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $893,970
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674 Saint Marys St | 0.12mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,322 (0%) | 3mo | $800,000 | $345 | 87 |
| 599 Beech Ter | 0.05mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,340 (+1%) | 13mo | $900,000 | $385 | 80 |
| 487 Jackson Ave | 0.29mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-10%) | 7mo | $1,065,000 | $507 | 56 |
| 738 Elton Ave | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+3%) | 2mo | $990,000 | $413 | 53 |
| 542 Fox St | 0.62mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,340 (+1%) | 19mo | $835,000 | $357 | 47 |
| 572 Fox St | 0.68mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,340 (+1%) | 22mo | $800,000 | $342 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.67% appreciation · 0.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $192,027
- Equity at exit
- $491,281
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $540,694
- Equity at exit
- $833,228
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10454
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 20.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,458 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$494 /mo · $5,923/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,566
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $818 | -5% $564 | +0% $309 | +5% $55 | +10% $-200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-280 | -5% $15 | +0% $309 | +5% $604 | +10% $898 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $538 | base $309 | +0.5pp $76 | +1.0pp $-161 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $7,458 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,729 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,729 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,458 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 E 126th St Unit 3 New York, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $6,000 | $3.75 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 12 W 127th St Unit 1 New York, NY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1899 | $8,999 | $4.74 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $899,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $899,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $899,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $899,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $899,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $899,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $899,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $899,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $899,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $899,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $899,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-04$899,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,923 · $494/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,558 · $880/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,635/yr (+$386/mo · 78.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $89,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$5,923
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,160
- − Management
- −$7,160
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable loss
- −$11,752
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,570
- Household income
- $24,086
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5002.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Black 23% Two or more races 14% White 3% Native American 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 29% Dominican 17%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.974
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.61%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+20.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,923 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…