1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 1907
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$100
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$543/mo
Annual
$6,517/yr
Cap rate
40.59%
Cash-on-cash
122.51%
DSCR
6.45
1% rule
4.49%
Cash to close
$5,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $543 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $19k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6 of equity ($131 loan paydown + $-125 appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#122 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Kiowa County (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #145 of 280 in KS (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kiowa County Elem/Jr. High (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #228 of 684 statewide, top 38%, 236 students, 51% FRL); Kiowa County High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D, #3 of 327 statewide, top 1%, 62 students, 31% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kiowa County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Kiowa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kiowa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $19k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AJ83XQDK8T905B
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29