3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,681 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,558/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,612
Tax + insurance
−$326
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$-1,707/mo
Annual
$-20,489/yr
Cap rate
2.18%
Cash-on-cash
-14.69%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
0.31%
Cash to close
$139,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $498k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (60.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (68.7% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (68.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#194 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Fentress County (rural): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #91 of 139 in TN (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Fentress Elementary School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #601 of 952 statewide, top 66%, 632 students, 0% FRL); Clarkrange High School (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 332 statewide, top 22%, 260 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP.
Fentress County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $498k implies a 453% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 69% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AK4N5R5QDZ0M9Y
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29