3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
972 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$955/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$30/mo
Annual
$360/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.12%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (17.0% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $95k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#171 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
Chandler (town): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #36 of 270 in OK (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park Road Es (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Chandler Jhs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #72 of 345 statewide, top 22%, 160 students, 0% FRL); Chandler Hs (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #9 of 447 statewide, top 2%, 335 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $88k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.8% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AKWEF9C9M74QYS
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29