3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,845 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 321 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,079/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-39/mo
Annual
$-472/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.31%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-472/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in SD, #3,452 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Webster Area 18-5 (rural): math 54% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #10 of 59 in SD (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Webster Area Elementary - 03 (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #39 of 253 statewide, top 19%, 265 students, 22% FRL); Webster Area Middle School - 02 (math 57% / reading 77%, grade A-, #5 of 143 statewide, top 3%, 125 students, 18% FRL); Webster Area High School - 01 (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #126 of 151 statewide, top 85%, 161 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Day County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Day County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AKX44KCFTWZ0FQ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29