43330 Us-12 Hwy #5 · Webster, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 320 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Residential construction
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-472/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (16.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#22 in SD, #3,452 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Webster Area 18-5 (rural): math 54% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #10 of 59 in SD (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Webster Area Elementary - 03 (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #39 of 253 statewide, top 19%, 265 students, 22% FRL); Webster Area Middle School - 02 (math 57% / reading 77%, grade A-, #5 of 143 statewide, top 3%, 125 students, 18% FRL); Webster Area High School - 01 (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #126 of 151 statewide, top 85%, 161 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Day County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Day County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.31%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-23,393
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-23,531
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57274
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,079 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $50 | -5% $5 | +0% $-39 | +5% $-84 | +10% $-128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-125 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-39 | +5% $3 | +10% $46 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $26 | -0.5pp $-7 | base $-39 | +0.5pp $-73 | +1.0pp $-107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $129,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $96,676
-
2025-10-26price $104,500
-
2025-08-05$98,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,036
- − Management
- −$1,036
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable loss
- −$2,686
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Area 18-5
- NCES district ID
- 4676990
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,747
- Composite
- 50.05/100
- National rank
- #1916
- State rank
- #10 of 59 in SD
Livability — Webster
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #3452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,611
Population outlook (Day County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,373 people
- By 2030
- 5,255 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 5,021 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 4,920 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 5,463 · +1.7%
- By 2100
- 6,689 · +24.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 29% Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Day
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.9) · D 34.1% · R 64.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -29.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.9 2020: R+27.6 2016: R+23.8 2012: D+6.2 2008: D+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.56%
- Current HPI
- 134.4609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
-1.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $96,676 NESD
- 2025-10-26 Price Changed $104,500 NESD
- 2025-08-05 Listed $98,000 NESD
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…