4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,505 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,997/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-160/mo
Annual
$-1,922/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Collet Park Elementary (316 students, 100% FRL); Grant Middle (344 students, 100% FRL); Nex Gen Academy (math 70% / reading 90%, grade A, #3 of 110 statewide, top 5%, 237 students, 20% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 63% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albuquerque Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.6% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AKX4SGBF04DR6S
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29