3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,991 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$-42/mo
Annual
$-507/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.07%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-507/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#314 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
Cripple Creek-Victor School District No. Re-1 (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #157 of 176 in CO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Teller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teller County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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