3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,238 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$947/mo
Annual
$11,362/yr
Cap rate
20.67%
Cash-on-cash
51.36%
DSCR
3.29
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $947 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#85 in OR, #4,103 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F.
Reynolds SD 7 (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #162 of 183 in OR (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (299 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds Middle School (837 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds High School (2,474 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $79k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.7% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AMQPFMC7YEX6QR
· Data 58 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29