2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
792 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 257 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$375
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$345/mo
Annual
$4,136/yr
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.66%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$20,020
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $494 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AMQVPG8YMB2S18
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29