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37 George Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$71,500

37 George Dr · Lower Swatara, PA 17057
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 257 Days on market
Built 1996 $90/sqft · 47% below area ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!

Key facts

  • Completely renovated
  • Built 1996
  • Listed 257 days

Tags

COMPLETELY RENOVATEDKITCHEN APPLIANCES INCLUDEDPET FRIENDLY ALL AGE COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $71,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$157,946) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $494 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $62,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.66%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,946
List price
$71,500
Delta
-54.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$8,884
Equity at exit
$10,661
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$30,101
Equity at exit
$6,182

Cash invested: $20,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17057

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$375
Tax est. 1.5%
$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $625
Max offer price $71,500
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $394 -5% $369 +0% $345 +5% $320 +10% $295
Rent -10% $261 -5% $303 +0% $345 +5% $387 +10% $429
Rate -1.0pp $381 -0.5pp $363 base $345 +0.5pp $326 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,875
Closing costs
$2,145
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2144 S 2nd St Unit RearRear Steelton, PA 1.0 1.0 580 $750 $1.29 44d 1 0.84mi
263 2nd St Unit 2 Highspire, PA 1.0 1.0 525 $875 $1.67 14d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $71,500 Active 257 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $71,500 Active 256 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $71,500 Active 255 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $71,500 Active 254 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $71,500 Active 252 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $71,500 Active 249 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $71,500 Active 248 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $71,500 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $71,500 Active 246 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $71,500 Active 243 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $71,500 Active 242 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,500 Active 241 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,500 Active 240 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,500 Active 239 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,500 Active 238 DOM
  16. 2025-11-16
    price $71,500 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!

  17. 2025-10-04
    listed $72,500 Active 462-char remark
    Show marketing remark (462 chars)

    Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,741
− Mortgage interest
−$4,005
− Property taxes
−$1,072
− Insurance
−$358
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$2,080
Taxable income
$3,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$3,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown Area SD
NCES district ID
4215240
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,128
Composite
33.08/100
National rank
#5567
State rank
#368 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lower Swatara

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
23,560
Household income
$73,407
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
748.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.17%
Current HPI
265.6077
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-16 Price Changed $71,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-04 Listed $72,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2017): $107 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…