🏷️ Likely Rental
37 George Dr · Lower Swatara, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$71,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!
Key facts
- Completely renovated
- Built 1996
- Listed 257 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $345 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $494 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.66%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,946
- List price
- $71,500
- Delta
- -54.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $8,884
- Equity at exit
- $10,661
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $30,101
- Equity at exit
- $6,182
Cash invested: $20,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17057
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$375
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $345
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $369 | +0% $345 | +5% $320 | +10% $295 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $261 | -5% $303 | +0% $345 | +5% $387 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $363 | base $345 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,875
- Closing costs
- $2,145
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2144 S 2nd St Unit RearRear Steelton, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $750 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 263 2nd St Unit 2 Highspire, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $875 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $71,500 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $71,500 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $71,500 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $71,500 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $71,500 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $71,500 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $71,500 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $71,500 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $71,500 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $71,500 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $71,500 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $71,500 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $71,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,500 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $71,500 Active 238 DOM
-
2025-11-16price $71,500 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!
-
2025-10-04$72,500 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Recently placed 14x66 REDMAN Singlewide with 3 beds (large walk-in closets) and 1 bath. Completely renovated in 2025. Kitchen appliances included. Not yet tax assessed. Located in Neighbors of Brookside MHP. $645 monthly lot rent. Water is metered and billed by use. $67 sewer, $15 trash. Pet friendly all age community. Optional 1 yr home warranty available for purchase. Financing available for all credit scores. Quick occupancy - Move in before the holidays!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,005
- − Property taxes
- −$1,072
- − Insurance
- −$358
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$2,080
- Taxable income
- $3,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$765
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215240
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,128
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5567
- State rank
- #368 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lower Swatara
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,560
- Household income
- $73,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 748.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.17%
- Current HPI
- 265.6077
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-1.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-16 Price Changed $71,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-04 Listed $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2017): $107 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…