3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$955/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$347/mo
Annual
$4,160/yr
Cap rate
13.34%
Cash-on-cash
25.18%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#461 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Lowndes County (rural): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #124 of 133 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Lowndes County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Kitchen countertops
— Cluttered and outdated.
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Bathroom
— Cluttered and outdated.
Minor: Exterior brick
— Weathered but not damaged.
Minor: Concrete floors
— Needs sealing and possibly refinishing.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29