3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,377
Tax + insurance
−$438
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$-784/mo
Annual
$-9,404/yr
Cap rate
2.71%
Cash-on-cash
-12.79%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.50%
Cash to close
$73,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $262k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-784 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (43.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (50.3% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (50.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#80 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Macon County (rural): math 34% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 139 in TN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fairlane Elementary (532 students, 0% FRL); Macon County High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #112 of 332 statewide, top 35%, 967 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 181 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macon County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $262k implies a 855% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AQ3MY47DAMBTJA
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29