3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,238 sqft ·
Built 1904
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,835/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,907
Tax + insurance
−$1,207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,225
Net cashflow
$-504/mo
Annual
$-6,048/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.90%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$208,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $745k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-504 ($-6k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-168/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $656k (11.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $584k (21.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $584k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#497 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
West Contra Costa Unified (suburban): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #993 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $99k; list at $745k implies a 653% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,835/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 1277% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-AS6N3J2XK4ZQR1
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29