2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
689 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,710/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$253
HOA
−$350
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$779
Net cashflow
$728/mo
Annual
$8,739/yr
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.23%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $305k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $305k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $300k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#138 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime F.
Roaring Fork School District No. Re-1 (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 86 in CO (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 171 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garfield County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $305k implies a 239% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.8% in Glenwood Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AS7ZF25J89VGZ6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29