2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,450 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,122/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$461
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$446
Net cashflow
$-62/mo
Annual
$-746/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.44%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-746/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (4.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $176k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#30 in CT, #2,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Rocky Hill School District (suburban): math 59% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #34 of 153 in CT (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: West Hill School (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A, #28 of 553 statewide, top 7%, 399 students, 13% FRL); Rocky Hill High School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #26 of 194 statewide, top 16%, 722 students, 21% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Newington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: exterior siding
— weathered and in poor condition
Major: deck
— damaged and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— damaged and uneven
CashFlowRE · CFR-ASE7JS7Q9CJDST
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29