4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,018 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,217/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$285
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$466
Net cashflow
$-107/mo
Annual
$-1,278/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.52%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (6.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (26.1% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $246k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Hahira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ASMNZD6VHMJXEA
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29