2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
415 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$241
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$719/mo
Annual
$8,629/yr
Cap rate
25.05%
Cash-on-cash
67.00%
DSCR
3.98
1% rule
2.85%
Cash to close
$12,880
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $42k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#183 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Dennis-Yarmouth (suburban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #222 of 302 in MA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dennis-Yarmouth Regional High (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #210 of 343 statewide, top 61%, 888 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 657 units permitted in Barnstable County in 2024 (178 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barnstable County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $46k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 2.3% in South Dennis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen appliances
— dated and worn
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Minor: exterior siding
— weathered and faded
Minor: deck
— worn and needs refinishing
CashFlowRE · CFR-ATBJ5G0FXG6810
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29