31 County Road 386 Off Fm 1725

Cleveland, TX 77327

$1,295,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 650 sqft · Built 1970 · MultiFamily · Active · 861 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $18,103/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$6,791
• Tax + insurance: −$2,158
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$3,802
• Net cashflow: $5,352/mo
• Annual: $64,223/yr
• Cap rate: 11.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.71%
• DSCR: 1.79
• 1% rule: 1.40%
• Cash to close: $362,600

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.29M. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($64k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.29M).
• It's been on market 861 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.14M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.14M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,013 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
• Cleveland ISD (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #723 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 1574 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $363k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.7% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $18,103/mo this rent would consume 349% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 861 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — Signs of potential leaks
• Major: flooring — Worn and possibly unsafe
• Major: HVAC/mechanicals — No recent maintenance