3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
990 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,768/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$401
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$371
Net cashflow
$868/mo
Annual
$10,414/yr
Cap rate
19.91%
Cash-on-cash
48.62%
DSCR
3.16
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$21,420
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $76k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $868 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($529 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#996 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, housing B; Watch: employment C-, schools D, health & safety D.
Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AVF121F5Q42R1K
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29