3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,960 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$222
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$217/mo
Annual
$2,603/yr
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.70%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#210 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Logan County Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 55 in WV (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Chapmanville Primary School (285 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Middle School (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 524 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Regional High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AVSD33A53G8ATJ
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29