3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1905
· Other
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,045/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,619/yr
Cap rate
17.53%
Cash-on-cash
40.14%
DSCR
2.79
1% rule
2.09%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#909 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
South Central CUD 401 (rural): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #506 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Fayette County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AW8GKM4PTGKBXS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29