3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$718
Net cashflow
$1,161/mo
Annual
$13,936/yr
Cap rate
12.10%
Cash-on-cash
20.74%
DSCR
1.92
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Apache Elem (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #505 of 684 statewide, top 74%, 526 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 29% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shawnee Mission Pub Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,419/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 935% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AWA6EV1YV7GD08
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29