3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,788 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,109/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$600/mo
Annual
$7,198/yr
Cap rate
24.29%
Cash-on-cash
64.27%
DSCR
3.86
1% rule
2.77%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#110 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Cleveland County School District (rural): math 40% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #95 of 238 in AR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rison Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #206 of 454 statewide, top 48%, 377 students, 65% FRL); Rison High School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #81 of 292 statewide, top 29%, 362 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP.
Cleveland County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29