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190 Adams Rd
B+ Composite 76.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

190 Adams Rd · Rison, AR 71665
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,788 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1955 2.00 ac lot $22/sqft · 39% below area Est $65k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on a country road. Property needs repairs and updates. Fixer upper with potential. Sold as-is. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#110 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Cleveland County School District (rural): math 40% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #95 of 238 in AR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rison Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #206 of 454 statewide, top 48%, 377 students, 65% FRL); Rison High School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #81 of 292 statewide, top 29%, 362 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleveland County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
24.29%
Cash-on-cash
64.27%
DSCR
3.86
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,070
List price
$40,000
Delta
-38.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.4%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$31,739
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
67.8%
Equity multiple
7.87×
Total profit
$76,900
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71665

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$600

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $622 -5% $611 +0% $600 +5% $589 +10% $577
Rent -10% $512 -5% $556 +0% $600 +5% $644 +10% $687
Rate -1.0pp $620 -0.5pp $610 base $600 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on a country road. Property needs repairs and updates. Fixer upper with potential. Sold as-is. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $40,000 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on a country road. Property needs repairs and updates. Fixer upper with potential. Sold as-is. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  3. 2026-03-24
    listed $45,000 New Listing 144-char remark
    Show marketing remark (144 chars)

    3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on a country road. Property needs repairs and updates. Fixer upper with potential. Sold as-is. AGENTS SEE REMARKS

  4. 2021-09-07
    soldstatus $85,000
  5. 2020-08-21
    historical
  6. 2020-07-31
    listed $97,900 New Listing
  7. 2020-07-20
    historical
  8. 2020-06-30
    listed $94,900 New Listing
  9. 2005-01-21
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$599 · $50/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,309
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,065
− Management
−$1,065
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$6,976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,674
After-tax cash flow
$5,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland County School District
NCES district ID
0500067
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,028
Composite
31.62/100
National rank
#5939
State rank
#95 of 238 in AR

Livability — Rison

Score
67/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#11095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,889

Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,657 people
By 2030
7,246 · -5.4%
By 2040
6,391 · -16.5%
By 2050
5,612 · -26.7%
By 2075
4,230 · -44.8%
By 2100
3,389 · -55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 9% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.6) · D 15.5% · R 83.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-23.6pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -67.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.6 2020: R+61.6 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+43.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.03%
Current HPI
124.3335
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $40,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-21 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2020-07-31 Listed $97,900 CARMLS
  • 2020-07-20 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Listed $94,900 CARMLS
  • 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+27.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $599 · +784.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…