1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$529/mo
Annual
$6,344/yr
Cap rate
15.49%
Cash-on-cash
32.84%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Birdville ISD (suburban): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #299 of 826 in TX (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cheney Hills El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 664 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 48% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Birdville ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.2% in Haltom City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZBH933AJTHMTN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29