3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,726/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,187/yr
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.38%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#104 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ray St. Pierre Academy For Advanced Studies (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #9 of 646 statewide, top 1%, 336 students, 26% FRL); Stella Worley Middle School (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #189 of 218 statewide, top 87%, 470 students, 80% FRL); John Ehret High School (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #169 of 265 statewide, top 64%, 1,579 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 299 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 9167% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $139k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.0% in Marrero — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZCZKH1W5KDXGB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29