3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
902 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$-515/mo
Annual
$-6,176/yr
Cap rate
3.20%
Cash-on-cash
-11.03%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.48%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-515 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (45.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (52.5% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (52.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#272 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Washington Chsd 308 (suburban): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #112 of 620 in IL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Washington Comm High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #76 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 1,484 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $131k; list at $200k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B0B7ESFC6Q5VCY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29