3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,282 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,143/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$450
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$353/mo
Annual
$4,237/yr
Cap rate
11.23%
Cash-on-cash
17.62%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$24,052
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Altus (town): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #69 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Altus Es (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 408 students, 0% FRL); Altus Hs (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #218 of 447 statewide, top 49%, 921 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $67k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.7% in Altus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29