3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,472 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,737/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,203
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$29
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$-242/mo
Annual
$-2,900/yr
Cap rate
5.03%
Cash-on-cash
-4.52%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$64,218
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (15.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (24.3% below list).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Mustang (suburban): math 35% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #28 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mustang Valley Es (math 50% / reading 40%, grade D-, #60 of 845 statewide, top 7%, 652 students, 0% FRL); Canyon Ridge Ies (math 43% / reading 36%, grade F, #8 of 345 statewide, top 2%, 749 students, 0% FRL); Mustang Hs (math 28% / reading 39%, grade F, #65 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 3,756 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 28% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 672 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.9% in Oklahoma City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B3J4XAF83PHVD4
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29