2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,060 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$335
HOA
−$398
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$-391/mo
Annual
$-4,691/yr
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.70%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-391 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (27.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#465 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $212k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B3TS80FVTYSX9P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29