2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,386 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,966
Tax + insurance
−$625
HOA
−$281
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$642
Net cashflow
$-458/mo
Annual
$-5,500/yr
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.24%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$104,997
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (17.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (18.5% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $306k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mary H. Matula Elementary School (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #393 of 860 statewide, top 46%, 551 students, 36% FRL); Milton M. Somers Middle School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #97 of 225 statewide, top 46%, 666 students, 39% FRL); La Plata High School (math 51% / reading 74%, grade B-, #62 of 222 statewide, top 29%, 1,222 students, 25% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charles County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B4GP7QFPF6672G
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29