10587 Great Basin Pl · Waldorf, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$374,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Active 55+ | St. Charles – Parklands | End-Unit Villa | Hamlin Model (Lot K137) | New Construction | May 2026 Move-In! Welcome to this stunning new construction end-unit villa located in the highly sought-after 55+ community of St. Charles – Parklands in White Plains, MD. This thoughtfully designed 1-car garage villa features 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, with stylish ceramic tile flooring and finishes throughout the bathrooms. The gourmet kitchen is equipped with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, and it opens seamlessly into the main living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining.
Key facts
- $281 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $375k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (17.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $306k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $306k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mary H. Matula Elementary School (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #393 of 860 statewide, top 46%, 551 students, 36% FRL); Milton M. Somers Middle School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #97 of 225 statewide, top 46%, 666 students, 39% FRL); La Plata High School (math 51% / reading 74%, grade B-, #62 of 222 statewide, top 29%, 1,222 students, 25% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charles County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.24%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $401,424
- List price
- $374,990
- Delta
- 1.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10619 Great Basin Pl | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (0%) | 3mo | $399,990 | $289 | 93 |
| 10667 Grand Teton Pl | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (0%) | 13mo | $399,990 | $289 | 86 |
| 10659 Grand Teton Pl | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (0%) | 14mo | $349,990 | $253 | 86 |
| 10670 Grand Teton Pl | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (0%) | 13mo | $379,990 | $274 | 85 |
| 10680 Grand Teton Pl | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+1%) | 12mo | $350,000 | $250 | 83 |
| 10731 Great Lakes Pl | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (0%) | 14mo | $389,990 | $281 | 83 |
| 10693 Grand Teton Pl | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+1%) | 16mo | $374,990 | $268 | 79 |
| 10757 Great Lakes Pl | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,358 (-2%) | 17mo | $371,990 | $274 | 75 |
| 10584 Mount Rainier Pl | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,358 (-2%) | 7mo | $380,000 | $280 | 68 |
| 3917 Glacier Bay Pl | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,478 (+7%) | 0mo | $382,000 | $258 | 67 |
| 11440 Bryce Canyon Pl | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,234 (-11%) | 6mo | $404,000 | $327 | 53 |
| 10603 Mount Rainier Pl | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,202 (-13%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $304 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-89,740
- Equity at exit
- $55,912
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-114,847
- Equity at exit
- $32,422
Cash invested: $104,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.5 mo (22%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $390,000 ($286/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 61 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 20695
- Home prices YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,966
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$281
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$642
- Net cashflow
- $-458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-199 | -5% $-329 | +0% $-458 | +5% $-588 | +10% $-718 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-700 | -5% $-579 | +0% $-458 | +5% $-338 | +10% $-217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-270 | -0.5pp $-363 | base $-458 | +0.5pp $-556 | +1.0pp $-654 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,748
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11180 Conway Pl White Plains, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1765 | $3,418 | $1.94 | 0d | 10 | 0.97mi |
| 5692 Glencoe Pl White Plains, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1942 | $3,254 | $1.67 | 3d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 10263 Pine Hill Pl La Plata, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $2,695 | $2.48 | 1d | 12 | 1.07mi |
| 11177 Southport Pl White Plains, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1718 | $2,950 | $1.72 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5616 Ludlow Pl White Plains, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1871 | $3,050 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- HOA fee of $281 per month
Exterior
- Parking
- Front-entry attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectric cooling
- Home design
- Interior townhouse/rowhouseFee simple ownershipConstruction listed as not completedSenior community with 55+ age requirementBuilt by Lennar
- Construction
- Vinyl siding and stone exteriorSlab foundationAbove-grade and below-grade structures noted
- Exterior features
- Community poolNot in a federal flood zoneLot dimensions listed by assessor
Interior
- Bedrooms
- Two main-level bedroomsBedroom 1
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioningNatural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features
- Estimated living areaNo basementDining roomFamily room
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $374,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $374,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $374,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $374,990 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $374,990 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $374,990 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $374,990 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $374,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $374,990 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $374,990 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $374,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $374,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $374,990 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $374,990 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $374,990 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $374,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $374,990 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $374,990 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $374,990 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $374,990 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $374,990 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $374,990 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $374,990 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $374,990 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $374,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $374,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $374,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $374,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $374,990 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $374,990 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $374,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $374,990 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $374,990 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $374,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $374,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $374,990 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $374,990 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $374,990 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $374,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $374,990 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $374,990 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $374,990 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $374,990 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $374,990 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $374,990 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $374,990 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $408,690 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $408,690 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $408,690 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $408,690 Active 34 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,670
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,005
- − Property taxes
- −$5,625
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,934
- − Management
- −$2,934
- − HOA
- −$3,372
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$11,983
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This new construction townhouse is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor landscaping and interior painting could further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and modern. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400270
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,389
- Composite
- 22.54/100
- National rank
- #8087
- State rank
- #14 of 24 in MD
Livability — Waldorf
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #6083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waldorf, MD
- County
- Charles County · 176,616 people
- City population
- 103,527
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,407
- Household income
- $141,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Charles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 176,616 people
- By 2030
- 186,471 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 206,472 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 224,883 · +27.3%
- By 2075
- 272,101 · +54.1%
- By 2100
- 303,564 · +71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.7) · D 69.2% · R 28.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.2pp toward D · 2008: 25.5pp · 2024: 40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.7 2020: D+40.9 2016: D+30.2 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+25.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.63%
- Current HPI
- 226.972
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-85.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $374,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $408,690 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $2,550,480 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…