3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,018
Net cashflow
$2,686/mo
Annual
$32,232/yr
Cap rate
22.82%
Cash-on-cash
59.03%
DSCR
3.63
1% rule
2.49%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $671/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bailey Elementary (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 538 students, 75% FRL); Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL); Rocky Mount High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,072 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $195k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29