3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1958
· Other
· Under Contract
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,740/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$458/mo
Annual
$5,491/yr
Cap rate
9.95%
Cash-on-cash
13.07%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#151 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
Bulloch County (rural): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #85 of 174 in GA (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Julia P. Bryant Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #411 of 1,228 statewide, top 34%, 748 students, 52% FRL); William James Middle School (math 27% / reading 39%, grade F, #213 of 470 statewide, top 47%, 577 students, 66% FRL); Statesboro High School (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #325 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 1,760 students, 63% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 668 units permitted in Bulloch County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bulloch County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.6% in Statesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B4VM0G2CB2W99P
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29