3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,326 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,770/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$274
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$372
Net cashflow
$23/mo
Annual
$272/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.46%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($272/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#546 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, commute D.
Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bloom High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,737 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $210k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 8.2% in Sauk Village — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B5Q9EAAF10RAV4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29