3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 322 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-33/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-33/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (12.7% below list).
It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,181 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Conneaut SD (rural): math 38% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #241 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Conneaut Lake-Sadsbury El Sch (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 303 students, 100% FRL); Conneaut Lake Ms (math 25% / reading 53%, grade F, #272 of 512 statewide, top 53%, 298 students, 100% FRL); Conneaut Area Senior High (math 95% / reading 24%, grade C+, #79 of 437 statewide, top 18%, 579 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 44% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— slight wear
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-B5S88Y1JZX77SD
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29