3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,471 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$850
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-102/mo
Annual
$-1,229/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.71%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$45,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (31.6% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $111k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#286 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Caldwell Parish (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 98 in LA (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Caldwell Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caldwell County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B6JYS91TXASG56
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29