3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,564 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,635/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,086
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$343
Net cashflow
$64/mo
Annual
$768/yr
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.33%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$57,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $207k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($768/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (21.0% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $163k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#98 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mt. Vernon R-V (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #129 of 324 in MO (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mt. Vernon Elem. (308 students, 53% FRL); Mt. Vernon Middle (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 361 students, 48% FRL); Mt. Vernon High (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 458 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 67 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B6ZR2N5VB6JAMV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29