4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,127 sqft ·
Built 1820
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$204
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-101/mo
Annual
$-1,214/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.07%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-101 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (8.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (27.4% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#65 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools D-.
Watch-outs: built in 1820 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Bennington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bennington County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1820 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7ASCK9JB8AYMT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29