3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$901/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$304/mo
Annual
$3,648/yr
Cap rate
12.48%
Cash-on-cash
22.08%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($901 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#100 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Coffee County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #30 of 129 in AL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Coffee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.5% in New Brockton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7M4S3EDRE94HT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29