3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1925
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,826/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$676
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-242/yr
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.58%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-242/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $147k (1.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#128 in PA, #1,005 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
William Penn SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #491 of 539 in PA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ardmore Avenue Sch (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,221 of 1,518 statewide, top 81%, 555 students, 100% FRL); Penn Wood Ms (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #463 of 512 statewide, top 91%, 683 students, 100% FRL); Penn Wood Hs (math 25% / reading 15%, grade F, #387 of 437 statewide, top 89%, 1,170 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 69% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Lansdowne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B7P7QQE9TVK02W
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29