3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,046 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 297 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$306
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$-173/mo
Annual
$-2,072/yr
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (10.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (28.0% below list).
It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#253 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
Custer County School District Consolidate 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #55 of 176 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Custer County Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #469 of 966 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 42% FRL); Custer Middle School (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #127 of 270 statewide, top 47%, 75 students, 33% FRL); Custer County High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #53 of 381 statewide, top 17%, 114 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $300k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.5% in Silver Cliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B82AHGFG79HFR8
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29