3242 County Road 265 · Silver Cliff, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Steal of a Deal! This mountain retreat offers incredible potential with 13.37 acres on a desirable corner lot, conveniently located right off a county-maintained road for year-round access. With a little sweat equity, you can make this 2,042 sq. ft. ranch-style home shine. Featuring an open floor plan, 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in space, dining area, and comfortable living room, there’s plenty of room to spread out. The bonus room—over 400 sq. ft. —is ideal for a game room, home office or hobby area. Outside, the property includes a 3-car detached garage with abundant storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced backyard—perfect for keeping pets safe. This property is a rare find at an unbeatable price, offering privacy, views, and space to create your mountain dream home.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Bonus room
- Greenhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (28.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.5% in Silver Cliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#253 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
- Custer County School District Consolidate 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #55 of 176 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Custer County Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #469 of 966 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 42% FRL); Custer Middle School (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #127 of 270 statewide, top 47%, 75 students, 33% FRL); Custer County High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #53 of 381 statewide, top 17%, 114 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $300k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.47%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $443,183
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -32.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-59,695
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-66,492
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81252
- Home prices YoY
- -11.3%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,160 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $-173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3 | -5% $-88 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-258 | +10% $-342 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-343 | -5% $-258 | +0% $-173 | +5% $-87 | +10% $-2 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-22 | -0.5pp $-96 | base $-173 | +0.5pp $-250 | +1.0pp $-329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $300,000 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $300,000 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $300,000 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 293 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 292 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $300,000 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $300,000 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $300,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 278 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $300,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2025-09-16price $300,000 870-char remark
Show marketing remark (870 chars)
Steal of a Deal! This mountain retreat offers incredible potential with 13.37 acres on a desirable corner lot, conveniently located right off a county-maintained road for year-round access. With a little sweat equity, you can make this 2,042 sq. ft. ranch-style home shine. Featuring an open floor plan, 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in space, dining area, and comfortable living room, there’s plenty of room to spread out. The bonus room—over 400 sq. ft. —is ideal for a game room, home office or hobby area. Outside, the property includes a 3-car detached garage with abundant storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced backyard—perfect for keeping pets safe. This property is a rare find at an unbeatable price, offering privacy, views, and space to create your mountain dream home.
-
2025-08-30$325,000 Active 870-char remark
Show marketing remark (870 chars)
Steal of a Deal! This mountain retreat offers incredible potential with 13.37 acres on a desirable corner lot, conveniently located right off a county-maintained road for year-round access. With a little sweat equity, you can make this 2,042 sq. ft. ranch-style home shine. Featuring an open floor plan, 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in space, dining area, and comfortable living room, there’s plenty of room to spread out. The bonus room—over 400 sq. ft. —is ideal for a game room, home office or hobby area. Outside, the property includes a 3-car detached garage with abundant storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced backyard—perfect for keeping pets safe. This property is a rare find at an unbeatable price, offering privacy, views, and space to create your mountain dream home.
-
2013-10-28soldstatus $115,300 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
It's a Steal! OF A DEAL. .. this mountain home is located right off of a county maintained road for easy access and is a corner lot with 13.53acres. The home has a nice flowing floor plan with 2,046 sf, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in, dining room and living room with a bonus room of over 400 sfperfect for a game or home office. Outside enjoy a 3 car detached garage with lots of storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced back yard to keep Fido safe and sound. If you are looking for a deal
-
2013-10-28soldstatus $115,300
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
It's a Steal! OF A DEAL. .. this mountain home is located right off of a county maintained road for easy access and is a corner lot with 13.53acres. The home has a nice flowing floor plan with 2,046 sf, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in, dining room and living room with a bonus room of over 400 sfperfect for a game or home office. Outside enjoy a 3 car detached garage with lots of storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced back yard to keep Fido safe and sound. If you are looking for a deal
-
2013-05-13$115,300
-
2013-05-10$115,300 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
It's a Steal! OF A DEAL. .. this mountain home is located right off of a county maintained road for easy access and is a corner lot with 13.53acres. The home has a nice flowing floor plan with 2,046 sf, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, a large kitchen with eat-in, dining room and living room with a bonus room of over 400 sfperfect for a game or home office. Outside enjoy a 3 car detached garage with lots of storage and workshop area, wood storage, a greenhouse, and a fully fenced back yard to keep Fido safe and sound. If you are looking for a deal
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,167 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,167
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,073
- − Management
- −$2,073
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$7,429
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,783
- After-tax cash flow
- $-289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Custer County School District Consolidate 1
- NCES district ID
- 0807200
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,757
- Composite
- 35.81/100
- National rank
- #9620
- State rank
- #55 of 176 in CO
Livability — Silver Cliff
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #19303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,413
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,413
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,686 people
- By 2030
- 4,760 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 4,743 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 4,667 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 4,702 · +0.3%
- By 2100
- 4,569 · -2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.1) · D 30.7% · R 66.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.1 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.35%
- Current HPI
- 252.8606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+160.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $300,000 RGAR
- 2025-08-30 Listed $325,000 RGAR
- 2013-10-28 Sold (MLS) $115,300 PARMLS
- 2013-10-28 Sold (MLS) $115,300 RGAR
- 2013-05-13 Listed $115,300 PARMLS
- 2013-05-10 Listed $115,300 RGAR
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,167 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…