3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,757 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,115/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$712
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-360/mo
Annual
$-4,318/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (25.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (15.1% below list).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#207 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, housing A, employment B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 489 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.8% in Eden Isle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-B86HPD7W5BHDHP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29