3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,434 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,590/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$389
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$544
Net cashflow
$608/mo
Annual
$7,302/yr
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.04%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#236 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
Chesapeake City Public School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #31 of 131 in VA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Butts Road Primary (545 students, 13% FRL); Hickory High (math 74% / reading 89%, grade A, #50 of 319 statewide, top 16%, 1,581 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 12% FRL vs 28% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 66% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chesapeake City Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 596 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 597 units permitted in Chesapeake city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chesapeake County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $103k; list at $200k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.7% in Chesapeake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-B8AEPGADZHT3ND
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29