816 bd · 2.0 ba ·
8,316 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,731/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,761
Tax + insurance
−$1,327
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,034
Net cashflow
$13,610/mo
Annual
$163,316/yr
Cap rate
17.33%
Cash-on-cash
39.41%
DSCR
2.75
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$414,372
Investor read
This is a 24 × 34-bed/24.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.48M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14k ($163k/yr) — positive. Per door: $567/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $1.48M).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.44M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.44M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $44k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $565k; list at $1.48M implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $414k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $28,731/mo this rent would consume 900% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1071% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29