513 N Graham St

Charlotte, NC 28202

$159,000D

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 630 sqft · Built 1990 · Townhouse · Active · 45 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,374/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$834
• Tax + insurance: −$265
• HOA: −$458
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$289
• Net cashflow: $-471/mo
• Annual: $-5,655/yr
• Cap rate: 2.74%
• Cash-on-cash: -12.70%
• DSCR: 0.43
• 1% rule: 0.86%
• Cash to close: $44,520

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $159k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-471 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $91k (42.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (13.6% below list).
• It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $91k (42.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Briarwood Academy (math 28% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,101 of 1,410 statewide, top 79%, 655 students, 99% FRL); Sedgefield Middle (math 33% / reading 38%, grade F, #279 of 475 statewide, top 60%, 501 students, 99% FRL); Myers Park High School (math 81% / reading 75%, grade A-, #85 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 3,593 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 49% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.