4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,891 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,654
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-330/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.37%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$88,312
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-330/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (23.9% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Eagle Mountain El (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,462 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 507 students, 19% FRL); Wayside Middle (math 42% / reading 42%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 1,077 students, 39% FRL); Boswell H S (math 49% / reading 62%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 2,547 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1074 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29